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Entries in Trends & Strategies (148)

Friday
Dec202013

Ten Trends to Ponder for 2014

By Clive Riddle, December 20, 2013

These aren’t necessarily the top ten trends for the coming year, because the ranking of trends depends on the position of the stakeholder – in other words – in the eye of the beholder.  But below are ten trends worth pondering as one positions oneself for the year ahead:

Private sector co-opting of public healthcare policy.  Consider a number of the trends discussed below. What they have in common – an overarching theme – is that the private sector has co-opted public healthcare policy, and may have achieved a greater impact than the public sector in doing so. The ACA begat Medicare ACOs – but the commercial ACO arrangements are generating a groundswell of activity. The ACA’s centerpiece is the public exchange launch of 2014, but the private sector is paying an awful lot of attention to private exchanges. Ten years ago, HSAs and High Deductible Plans were policy driven – now they are market driven. The Stimulus drove Meaningful Use, but now that it’s become meaningful, the private sector is leveraging what to do with this new framework.

Commercial ACO Collaborations become commonplace. Soon health plans and provider networks may stop issuing press releases with each new collaboration because they are so commonplace, they just aren’t news anymore. Unlike their Medicare counterparts that are standardized arrangements, the commercial collaborations are customized, any one might argue about how many of them meet the definition of a true Accountable Care arrangement. Or perhaps they will simply erode the definition to the point where we end up calling them something else.

Private Exchanges Exceed Expectations While Public Exchanges Fall Short.  While public exchanges can drive much bigger numbers due to sheer numbers of the uninsured and underinsured, and the availability of subsidies, 2014 will find the level of impact and implications falling short of expectations as not as many of these population opt-in as expected, at least for now. This will also mean the dire predictions of ongoing glitches and budget shortfalls may not be as bad as predicted, because there will be fewer numbers for now compared to initial rosy projections. Meanwhile, private exchanges may very well exceed initial expectations for enrollment and levels of interest as 2014 takes shape.

Defined Contribution Drives Private Exchanges.  Defined contribution health plan arrangements were the buzzwords at the dawn of this millennium, but got left aside in the rush to account based and high deductible health plans in the consumerism movement. But now the stars are aligning for the return of the prodigal defined contribution son, as the driver of how most private exchanges are designed, and the driver of private sector interest in 2014 and beyond.

Is Everyone in a High Deductible Plan? There a lots a surveys with varying reported levels of HDHP penetration in the commercial sector – but this much can be agreed upon – all the percentages keep trending up… and up. Unfortunately, the account based plans that were supposed to accompany the HDHPs are missing in many employer sponsored plans, or at least the employer contribution is. Never the less, the trend for HDHP growth will continue.

Innovation, Transformation and Integration are the Words of the Year.  Like the old 80’s episodes of Pee-Wee’s Playhouse, with the word of the day that set off buzzers, Innovation, Transformation and Integration are the words for 2014… although they will in many cases, be words but not action at this point in time. But if your organization doesn’t yet have a Chief Innovation, Chief Innovation or Chief Integration Officer, look for them in 2014.

EHR Tipping Point Drives Innovation. Of course lots of physician practices still don’t have EHR. And a number who do aren’t all that interoperable. But still, the point has been reached where there’s gobs of stuff you can do with the level of electronic data and transmission that is now being generated – and this is going to continue to stimulate a plethora of new applications and solutions in a range of environments.

Analytics Extends Its Reach.  Analytics has become huge for so many sectors – healthcare may actually be a laggard. But make no mistake – analytics is where the action is in healthcare for 2014 if there is any hope in taming the beast of operational inefficiencies, resource management, and explosive costs.

The Further Evolution of Population Health.  Ten years ago the definition of Population Health was commonly held to be “the health outcomes of a group of individuals, including the distribution of such outcomes within the group” and was more prevalent in policy and academic circles. 2014 finds the scope and role of population health expanding and evolving, with strong involvement from the private sector.

Consumer Engagement Just Needs More Consumers to Get Engaged. In 2014, we will see the tools are there – apps, websites, outreach programs, incentive programs, plan design, you-name-it. The challenge we find ourselves in for 2014, is a number of surveys continue to demonstrate that large blocks of consumers remain unengaged, uninformed and fairly clueless about the delivery or the business of healthcare.

Tuesday
Dec102013

Humana’s Vipin Gopal on Advancing the Frontiers in Predictive Modeling

By Clive Riddle, December 10, 2013

Vipin Gopal, PhD, Vice President of Clinical Analytics for Humana gave the opening plenary presentation last week during the Seventh National Predictive Modeling Summit in Washington, DC, providing an excellent overview of the current and future state of predictive modeling in healthcare.

Vipin summarizes the state of predictive modeling from his and Humana’s perspective as follows:

  • They have seen rapid evolution as a discipline over the past decade
  • There is newer and better software, data sources, hardware
  • There are a lot more applications
  • They have a deeper understanding of their members
  • There are now more efficient and effective delivery mechanisms for model output
  • Predictive Modelers will make a broader and deeper impact for in the coming years

Vipin offers as advice, these guiding principles for organizations deploying predictive modeling functions:

  1. Establish a set of "quick wins" to drive early results and build momentum
  2. Show results to bolster the business case behind making further investments
  3. Focus on the issues that have the most direct impact on the business
  4. Ensure that effort is placed on key strategic issues and pressing challenges
  5. Address challenges with underlying data
  6. Clean and streamlined data is an enabler for the creation of more effective and comprehensive analytical models

Vipin advocates that leading-edge analytics should encompass these themes:

  • Focus: Are we solving the right problems?
  • Nimble: Rapid analytics to respond to business needs
  • Cutting-edge Methods: State-of-the-art problem solving
  • Tools: Leverage advancements in the analytics marketplace
  • Optimize: Maximize output of analytic resources
  • Integrate: Systems approach to data, analytics and action
  • Real-time: Closing the feedback loop with the most recent data

What are the key components of predictive modeling in healthcare, according to Vipin? Three things that should all work towards improved outcomes, high engagement and reduced costs: (1) Integration of Data,

Action, and Analytics; (2) Infrastructure incorporating Consistent, comprehensive datasets, Cutting edge analytic tools, and Deployment to action; and (3) Talent (predictive modeling staff and outsourced vendors.)

Vipin notes that past modeling work primarily relied on claims data, while current work aggregates multiple data sources to create an integrated view of the member for consistent and rapid analytics.

So where are we headed with data sources? Vipin reviewed these Next-Gen sources:

  • Text Based (EMR; Nurses’ Notes; Call Center Transcripts)
  • Devices (Remote monitoring, Smart Phones)
  • Online Data (Social Media Data, Web Footprint)

And where are we headed overall? Vipin sees a broad range of applications, including Clinical, Marketing, 

Financial, and Fraud Detection. He sees us mining deeper data sources, driven by a need to know our consumers better, while deploying more efficient delivery mechanisms that incorporate real-time alerts and mobile devices.  The “Holy Grail” in all of this? Vipin says it is predicting and influencing consumer behavior; and we need to do this in an environment in which there is a proliferation of models and we hopefully will simultaneously see efforts to have them work in unison!

Monday
May132013

Games (Some) People Play

By Kim Bellard, May 13, 2013

I have to admit that I am a child of the television age, with movies as a close second.  I never really got into video games, like PacMan, Tetris, Mario Brothers, Call of Duty, Grand Theft Auto or even Madden NFL, and am only now belatedly becoming addicted to Angry Birds.  As I suspect is true of many of us old health care pros, I am also late to the potential revolution that video games offer for health care.  I’m glad others in the field have been paying more attention.

The video game industry is not for teenagers, and its size is shocking – it dwarfs the music industry, and, depending on which source one uses, either has surpassed or soon will surpass the movie industry.  It’s helping to drive the chip, PC, and mobile phone industries; none can afford to fail to deliver the speed and video quality that modern gamers demand.  We’re talking about a soon-to-be $70 billion industry here; still only a fraction of the health care industry, but much bigger, for example, than spending on health IT

The video game industry itself faces its own challenges; for example, the era of game consoles may be ending, as more gaming is done on mobile devices and with other options for player control.  That’s not to say the era of video games is passing, but rather that it continues to change rapidly.  Hand-held games were revolutionary when first introduced, as were game consoles, PC-based games, the Wii controller, Kinect, to name a few.  Video game companies who do not innovate can find themselves quickly left behind.  This “evolve-or-die” mindset is one that I wish was more prevalent in health care, whose attitude is more often “we know best” and/or “not too fast!”

Always looking ahead, the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation started its Games for Health project back in 2004.  They have given grants of over $9 million, and have an active conference and information sharing presence in the health/gaming intersection.  They’re not just spurring development of games and games technology, but also funding research on the games’ effectiveness through their Health Games Research program. 

The research is showing some results.  There are many reports about the health benefits of video games, such as a recent study that found video games can slow or even reverse mental decay, and a broader list of positive impacts that include motion skills, stress reduction, pain relief, vision and decision-making skills.  Apparently, both seniors and kids can benefit. 

An example of how game principles can be applied in health care is Mango Health, which turns the problem of medication management into a game, complete with rewards that can be turned into gift cards or charitable donations.  It is not the first or only such example, but is illustrative of the potential games offer.

The Entertainment Software Association, perhaps sensitive about criticism that violent videogames can have adverse impacts, prominently touts video games’ role in health care (along with family life, art, the economy, education, social issues, and the workplace – boy, these guys really are defensive, aren’t they?).  Two of the key areas it cites are in rehabilitation and in training.  For example, USC’s Institute for Creative Technologies researchers developed Jewel Mine to provide customized rehabilitation to people with a variety of neurological and physical injuries.  Other efforts use out-of-the-box gaming systems, like Wii or Xbox, to make rehab more enjoyable.  And there is an organization, Games4Rehab, that tries to tie users, developers, clinicians, and researchers together in this area.

One of the innovators in training that ESA cites is the University of Maryland Medical Center’s Advanced Simulation, Training, Research, and Innovation Center (MASTRI).  MASTRI has been working for over six years now on high tech simulation and training for health care.  Even ONC is using video games for training, as is Darpa (in their case, mobile medical training for first responders). 

One recent study found that surgeons who used the Wii – not on any specific medical games but just using standard Wii games -- outperformed their peers in laparoscopic simulators, due to improved spatial attention and hand-eye coordination.  My favorite study, though, was the one that found gamers did better at simulated surgery than medical residents.  Maybe the wrong people are doing those kinds of surgeries.

Surprisingly, payors haven’t all been late to this particular game.  Humana, in particular, was a pioneer, focusing on video games as far back as 2007.  Aetna  and United have joined the movement, and last year the Wall Street Journal summarized various insurer efforts.  One senses they’re not quite sure what they should be doing, but don’t want to get left behind.

People have coined the term “gamification” to include game-like features into non-game pursuits.  Author Jane McGonigal wrote a fascinating book called Reality Is Broken, the subtitle of which is “Why Games Make Us Better and How They Can Change the World.”  She doesn’t confine herself to video games, nor does she talk much about their applications for health care, but the mind-set she describes -- which include overcoming obstacles, rewards, collaboration, interaction, voluntary participation, and feedback -- is very much something people in health care should be incorporating more. 

The health care system does often seem like a maze, but it’s not one that most people have any fun navigating, nor one where many people emerge thinking they are winners.  This is an industry where, for example, use of outdated communications technologies like pagers waste an estimated $8.3 billion annually.  This is an industry that demanded, and is getting, hundreds of billions of dollars from the federal government to bring their medical records into the 20th century (and I mean that), largely still in siloed, mainframe EHRs that can’t talk well with each other and whose requirements for “Meaningful Use” are being delayed again.  It is not, in short, an industry that would seem an early adaptor of the lessons video games can teach.

Video games are no panacea for health care.  Not everything is a game, not everything should be approached like a game, and not everyone likes games.  Still, there are a couple of important lessons we should draw from them:

  • To each his own: for a not insignificant and growing portion of the population, games are a familiar and preferred medium.  If we want to educate, motivate, and influence behavior for that segment, game-like approaches are the way to go.  The likelihood of reaching serious gamers through, say, a telephonic disease management program would seem to be very low.  The point is not to use video games for everything for everyone, but to use the right media for the right populations.  We now have lots of options to reach people, including not just games but also social media, text, email, mobile.  The challenge to providers, health systems, and health plans is to figure out how to best use each tool for which portion(s) of the population.   
  • Take advantage of the technology and design:  Video games are in an arms race for better experience, and, as with arms races, there can be spillover benefits to other sectors.  High quality simulated images (even 3-D), on-demand, motion-sensing, multimedia, multi-person, and, above all, relentlessly interactive – all describe modern game capabilities and should be describing applications for health care, even if not used for games themselves.  Maybe health care organizations should hire fewer mainframe programmers and more game designers to work on their B2C efforts. 

Excuse me, but I better go play some games…for my health, of course!

Wednesday
Jan232013

Get Ready…ACA Superbowl

By Lindsay Resnick, January 23, 2013

Bring your A-game to both sides of the ball, it’s time to play game winning offense and defense. As ACA’s October 2013 open enrollment gets closer, winning health plans are focused on honing their direct-to-consumer marketing skills around retaining and acquiring membership.  It means getting into the Affordable Care Act game by protecting your base with tough defense, and preparing to put points on the board (aka new members) with aggressive offense.

DEFENSE: Retain the members you already have. Prioritize those that are the most valuable and create customized engagement strategies to keep them. Take a data-driven approach to understanding your most vulnerable “at risk” population within your Individual and Small Group businesses that can soon make individual choices.

Core objectives for health plan retention:

  1. Maximize retention of existing membership in both on and off Exchange products by minimizing the potential to lose Individual and Small Group customers to competitors.
  2. Leverage membership data and third-party intelligence to improve understanding of current Individual and Small Group customers.
  3. Communicate a timely and relevant message to existing membership, employers, and distributors to support retention by improving member engagement and building brand loyalty.
  4. Emerge as a trusted source for information regarding what health care reform is and what is means to those most impacted…Who’s eligible for what? What’s in it for ME?

OFFENSE: Get your share of the open enrollment “land grab”. Understand needs and attributes of various segments of new market entrants to optimize acquisition campaigns. Create on/off Exchange strategies to generate new leads and sales from individuals most likely to enter the market as a result of ACA’s disruptive events. Switching will be at an all-time high... make sure they switch to you!

Core objectives health plan acquisition:

  1. Increase sales opportunities to enroll a larger percentage of the individuals across all segments likely to purchase through public/private Exchanges and, small businesses SHOP Exchanges (e.g., uninsured, disenfranchised small group employees, subsidy eligibles, new Individual shoppers).
  2. Optimize and increase the use of database management and segmentation tools to improve targeting capabilities and gain a better understanding of the marketplace than your competitors.
  3. Work in tandem with your product development team to identify various product acquisition paths, mapping current portfolio to a post reform products. These product acquisition paths will be the basis for determining messaging and sales strategies.
  4. Deploy a new business direct response marketing tactics that blends push-based education with pull-based entry into your selling cycle. 

The future of health insurance belongs to the prepared.To achieve and sustain profitable growth, marketing strategies need to look very different going forward. They need to move from product-centric…see who buys it; to consumer-centric…understand how they engage.

Tomorrow’s health insurance consumer needs to be at the center of everything marketers do throughout the customer lifecycle.  An engaged consumer means connecting early and often, nurturing them into the sales cycle, keeping them involved through purchase, and delivering a superior customer experience. A balanced approach to customer retention and acquisition, supported by data-based intelligence and strong consumer engagement, will determine ACA winners.

Monday
Jan072013

And You Thought Health Care Was Bad

By Kim Bellard, January 7, 2013

I’ve been thinking a lot of our educational system lately.  It may be the only part of our economy that makes me feel any better about our health care system.

Now, let me preface my remarks by admitting that whatever experience and expertise I may have with health care, I can’t claim the same for education (except as a student long ago).  Still, education and health care are two areas that most Americans feel very strongly about, recognizing that they are crucial for the well-being of the populace and of the country.  We should all care about what’s happening in both.  Unfortunately, we seem to have blinders on about how well either is performing.

The heath care statistics are perhaps better known.  I’ve covered some of these in previous entries, and won’t repeat all of them here.  In short, we spend way too much – far more than any other country – yet do not score at all well on most international comparisons of mortality or morbidity.  Whatever that extra spending is buying us, it does not appear to be better health.

The picture for education is surprisingly (and depressingly) similar.  We spend far more per pupil than other countries (although, unlike with health care, we’re not the highest as a percent of GDP), as reported by OECD.  Yet we aren’t getting good value for that spending, as our performance is at best middling compared to other countries (see, for example, the USC Rossier School of Education and The George Washington University).  And, according to a report from the Harvard Kennedy School recently, we’re not only scoring poorly but also we’re not gaining any ground on better performing educational systems in other countries.  In a global economy, that’s a race to the bottom, especially since some of our worst scores are in critical areas like math and science.

Most Americans might acknowledge that there are large parts of the public – especially the poor -- for whom both the health care and the education systems are failing, but the statistics for both systems indicate we’re all paying a premium for, at best, average performance.  That’s a sucker bet.

This caused me to start thinking about the ways in which the two sectors are similar.  Here are a few that strike me:

  • Who Pays: Both sectors rely heavily on public spending.  Health care is roughly half public spending (even ignoring the “tax expenditure” for employer-based health insurance), while in education the public spending is much higher – over 70% for all levels and closer to 90% for pre-collegiate.  People may not be as vigilant about what they are getting when they think the government is providing the service as with services they buy directly.  However, most other countries have even higher proportions of public spending in both sectors.
  • Local:  Most health care and most education is received “close to home.”  It’s certainly possible to get either health care or an education far away from home (as often happens with college), but that tends to be the exception; people tend to stick with what they know rather than seeking the best available.
  • Variability: The Dartmouth Atlas has been preaching for decades about the variation in health care throughout the U.S., for reasons not explained by population differences but simply due to local practice patterns.  The variability of performance in the education system between states and between schools within the same state show a similar wide range of variability (indeed, the Harvard report indicated more variability between states within the U.S. as between the U.S. and other countries).  It’s possible to find the best care or the best education in the world within the U.S., but there is a certain geographic randomness to that which is very troubling.
  • IT Transformation: Ironically, both health care and education were early adopters for IT – but for primarily for billing and administration, not for care delivery or teaching, respectively.  This is starting to change.  Health care has relied heavily on technology, such as MRIs or laser surgery, and the federal government is spending billions to encourage adoption of EHRs.  In the educational system, many classrooms are making good use of computers, even sometimes replacing textbooks with laptops or tablets.  Still, one would have to say that IT has not yet had the kind of dramatic impact on what the average doctor or teacher do every day as what workers in many other industries have seen, because they have not been forced to fundamentally reengineer their processes.
  • Guild Mentality: For many, many decades both teachers and many types of health care practitioners – doctors, pharmacists, dentists, nurses – have generally been viewed with great respect by the public.  Unfortunately, those professions have had a tendency to incorporate the attitude that people outside their profession are not qualified to evaluate their performance.  This no doubt contributed both to the local variability and lack of IT transformation mentioned above.  Teachers have the added protection of unions that serve to further insulate them from outside pressure on performance, while doctors, pharmacists, and dentists have the strong barrier to entry of their advanced education and licensure requirements. 
  • Lack of measurement: Historically, neither field paid much attention to measurement and certainly not to quantitative feedback loops for improvement.  Good teaching, like good health care, was seen as hard to define, especially since the full consequences of deficits in either may not fully emerge for years.  As a result, it’s been hard at best, and impossible in many cases, for consumers to view performance results to find the best teachers/schools or doctors/hospitals.  This is starting to change, such as through Meaningful Use requirements in health care and testing standards of No Child Left Behind/Race to the Top in education, but we have a long way to go before the average person can get actionable information on where and from whom to get the best education or health care. 
  • Not Rewarding Excellence: For the past thirty or so years, both public and private payors have moved away from paying based on charges and more on using predetermined fee schedules. This had the (hopefully) unintended effect of rewarding health care providers for average, not actual, performance.   Similarly, in education, teachers’ compensation was largely driven by tenure; the longer one had taught, the more they were paid.  In neither sector was excellence rewarded or poor performance punished.  Health care is now creeping towards “value-based purchasing” and education towards various forms of pay for performance, but the new systems are not widespread nor do they generally comprise a significant portion of compensation.

One might expect that the professions involved would be leading the charge to measure and improve performance, and to reward excellence, but by and large that has not generally been the case.  In his recent book Class Warfare: Inside the Fight to Fix America’s Schools, Steven Brill noted a mentality where teachers’ unions treated criticism of any teacher as criticism of every teacher, and it struck me that the same is all-too-true for health care professionals as well.  We have to get away from that.  The fact is that there are better teachers and worse teachers, better schools and worse schools; better doctors and worse doctors, better hospitals and worse hospitals.  It is crazy that we as purchasers of these services are not demanding not only to know which are which, but also demanding the ability to take our children/ourselves – and our money -- to the best practitioners. 

Measuring quality in either health care or education is, indeed, hard to do, but better performance from both systems is absolutely critical.  We’ve not going to emerge from the 21st century with the kind of country we expect unless we demand better performance.  Anyone want to bet which system reforms the fastest?

Wednesday
Dec192012

TrendSoup: Ten Key Healthcare Business Trends for 2013

By Clive Riddle, December 19, 2012

There may not be a point to ranking the components in a collection of the top trends to impact the business of healthcare in 2013. It can be difficult to say what specific trend singularly will be the most important – beauty may be in the eye of the stakeholder. It would seem that top tier trends all converge and have some degree of effect on each other – kind of like the ingredients of a soup.

So here’s what this chef sees as the ingredient list – in no particular order – of the 2013 TrendSoup for the business of healthcare:

Exchanging Confusion with Public Health Insurance Exchanges

It is not too daring to predict a good deal of confusion will reign for all stakeholders involved with public health insurance exchanges during 2013, as everyone scrambles to prepare for HIX implementation in 2014. Guidance won’t be able to get produced fast enough; guidance won’t anticipate all the scenarios, and a monumental level of decisions and development must be delved into. It won’t be for the faint of heart.

Employer embrace of Defined Contribution Approach

Interest in private HIXs took off during 2012, and even though public HIXs were validated by SCOTUS and the November elections, it is clear that public and private exchanges can co-exist, and that mid-size and large employers are intrigued by utilizing private HIXs to facilitate a switch to defined contributions for health benefits, particularly for those still involved with retiree benefits.

Medicaid Matters: Implications for local Medicaid Plans

Size Matters. Therefore in healthcare, Medicaid Matters. Starting in 2014, the formerly uninsured will shift in sizeable numbers into the Medicaid system. Much attention has been given to the implications for national Medicaid plans – WellPoint acquired Amerigroup – all eyes are on the implications for Centene or Molina. But the real impact, and larger implications, may be spread over the blanket of local, publicly run Medicaid plans throughout the country. The question is – how will the Medicaid Surge transform the local plans?

Early Successes and Failures of Medicare ACOs

With any major new model of care delivery and payments, comes the buildup and the teardown.  So much has already been said about the hopes, dreams and aspirations for what ACOs can do for healthcare. In 2013, enough early experience will exist for Medicare ACOs, that the inevitable examples of big failures will emerge, with pundits and naysayers gleefully parading out their case studies, proclaiming that ACOs are a big bust. Similarly, there will be big successes that will emerge, with pundits and cheerleaders cheerfully parading them out as well.

Employer and Health Plan Embrace of Commercial Accountable Care Arrangements

The real ACO action around the country may be in how major national and regional health plans are investing in building and securing accountable care arrangements with provider organizations for commercial populations. Already a big deal in 2012 – the level of activity will continue to increase in 2013.

Integrated Healthcare Momentum

A greater  number of healthcare systems will either expand their integration efforts, or initiate such steps, with a particular emphasis on medical home development, accountable care arrangements, full system EHR, and some level of administrative capability to function as a payer, while not typically going so far as a licensed commercial health plan.

Hybridization of Employer Worksite Clinics

Onsite workplace clinics continue to gain in popularity among very large employers, to fulfill a number of objectives – reducing costs, improving access, reducing time off work for appointments, implementing a medical home, and many other strategies. But the concept appeals to a wide number of employers that can’t swing implementation due to their size, physical campus logistics, corporate capital constraints or a variety of other issues. 2013 will find development of more hybrid arrangements, such as shared sites between multiple employers or employer coalitions, TPA or health plan sponsored sites for large clients, mobile clinics rotating between sites and other arrangements.

The Convergence of EHR critical mass, readmissions and analytics

A much wider swath of the provider universe now orbits around EHR. Among other EHR implications, 2013 will find many more provider organizations mining their newfound trove of electronic data to conduct analytics, particularly for readmissions management strategies.

Medication Adherence Becomes a Bigger Target

Whether as part of wellness incentive programs, disease management programs, hospital readmissions management, or other care management initiatives; the realization will become even clearer in 2013 that medication adherence may the largest, lowest hanging fruit for stakeholders to focus on, with a wide range of approaches emerging to better address this long-standing issue.

Explosion of mHealth and Emergence of Breakthrough Apps

There’s an explosion of any kind of app, so it follows there’s an ongoing explosion of available healthcare apps. What will also shakeout in 2013 is that a handful of these mHealth apps will gain traction, go mainstream, and will be coming to an iPad near you, this New Year.

Friday
Nov022012

Accenture on Independent MDs in the near future: Fewer of Them; With More Performing Subscription Based Services

By Clive Riddle, November 2, 2012

Accenture has just released a new report: Clinical Transformation: New Business Models for a New Era in Healthcare. They found that  “over the past decade, the number of independent U.S. physicians has dropped dramatically, from 57 percent in 2000 to 39 percent in 2012. By the end of 2013, Accenture predicts this number will likely drop further, to 36 percent.” More interesting, it that “by the end of 2013, Accenture also estimates that one-in-three doctors remaining independent will offer patients with subscription-based services, such as telemedicine or online consultations, for sustaining profit – a trend that is expected to increase three-fold over the next three years.”

Accenture’s Kaveh Safavi, M.D., J.D., tells us “More independent physicians are offering subscription-based services as a way for patients to customize their care experience. Meanwhile, patients appreciate the opportunity to supplement their existing coverage with premium, subscription-based services, such as same-day appointments and online prescription refills.”

While this blends with concierge medicine concepts, but the possibilities for what physicians potentially could develop as supplemental premium services could be quite interesting. Of course, for those doctors under health plan managed care contracts preventing balance billing, chartering into premium service waters might require considerable navigation.

Here are some other findings from the Accenture physician survey:

  • 87 percent of physicians surveyed cited the cost and expense of running a business as a chief concern.
  • 65 percent joining health systems said they expect to make the same or less compensation than in private practice.
  • 61 percent cited business operations as a main reason for seeking hospital employment rather than remaining independent.
  • 53 percent cited electronic medical record requirements as a main reason for leaving private practice.
Friday
Jul202012

The Role of Pharmaceuticals in Value-Based Healthcare

by Clive Riddle, July 19, 2012

Who is the “Working Group on Optimizing Medication Therapy in Value-Based Healthcare” you ask? They consist of National Pharmaceutical Council (NPC), the American Medical Group Association (AMGA) and the Premier health care alliance, along with seven provider organizations, formed to develop a “framework for considering the role of pharmaceuticals in achieving value-based success.”

It could seem somewhat self-serving, given the National Pharmaceutical Council was a driving force in the initiative and issued the press release about their newly published framework. However the group does say some interesting things. Their entire thoughts on the matter are published in a web article,  Role of Pharmaceuticals in Value-Based Healthcare: A Framework for Success, in the American Journal of Managed Care.

NPC Chief Science Officer Robert Dubois, MD, PhD tell us “Providers are shifting to value-based care models to provide better care for individuals, improve population health and slow cost growth. Many of these models, such as the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services' Medicare Shared Savings Program, include quality benchmarks and incentives for reducing costs. As providers evaluate optimal care for their patient populations in these new models, prescription medications should be thoughtfully integrated into the process.”

Here’s the components of the framework they have constructed:

  1.  Success in a value-based environment will depend on understanding the unique contribution of medications and utilizing them optimally across conditions and populations.
  2. Medications cannot be viewed as a siloed expense item in a value-based environment. They need to be integrated so that the cost offsets and quality benefits resulting from optimized pharmaceutical use can be recognized and calculated.
  3. Services meant to optimize patient outcomes cannot be undertaken as a one-size-fits-all approach; the role, impact and characteristics of these services will vary by a patient's condition.
  4. Overall risk factors can be used to identify patients who are candidates for medication therapy management strategies to watch for drug-drug, drug-disease, or polypharmacy concerns.
  5. In each circumstance where there are condition-specific incentives to achieve cost savings, there should also be a quality metric to detect under-use of pharmaceuticals.

The group views ACOs as a centerpiece of value based programs. Doctor Dubois leaves us with this thought: "It is crucial for ACOs to view prescription drugs as a tool, not simply an expense.”

Monday
May212012

Exchange Exchanges for What? 

By Kim Bellard, May 21, 2012

Last week HHS released new guidance on their approaches for health insurance exchanges, as well as announcing $181 million in exchange establishment grants.  This brings the exchange grants to $1 billion over the last two years.  Among the states, only Alaska did not apply even for a planning grant.  (For detail on state activity, see here). 

HHS has bent over backwards to give states options for their exchanges.  The most recent guidance allows states to run the exchanges or to partner with the federal government in running them.  Of course, if a state does not act, the federal government would run an exchange on behalf of the state’s residents.  States have until November 16, 2012 to inform HHS about what type of exchange they intend.  HHS had also previously given states discretion in defining necessary benefits.  The exchanges are scheduled to go into effect as of January 1, 2014, under the provisions of the Affordable Care Act (ACA).  The interested reader can view a nice overview of the recent guidance here or read the actual guidance.

Many states are not keen on the idea of an exchange under ACA.  New Jersey Governor Christie recently vetoed a bill to set up an exchange in that state.  Other states that have recently expressed wariness about setting up exchanges include Illinois, Louisiana, Michigan. Minnesota, and South Dakota.   Curiously, Illinois and South Dakota were among the states in the most recent set of grants announced by HHS, which illustrates that taking money from the federal government is not the same as agreeing with what it wants you to do it.

Of course, much of the resistance is ideological, with Republican legislators and/or Governors doing what they can to offer resistance to ACA in an election year.   It’s too bad that exchanges are caught up in that fight, because there are good reasons to see them as important components of the health care system with or without ACA.

The two operational exchanges in the country – Utah and Massachusetts – predate ACA, and were set up for distinctly different ideological reasons.  Massachusetts, of course, had its own health reform bill, including a mandate for coverage, while Utah was seeking to facilitate coverage for uninsured but employed individuals.  As might be expected by the political make-up of each state, the Massachusetts exchange has a more regulated approach, and the Utah exchange a more free market approach, which only demonstrates that health reform solutions can cover the political spectrum. 

Even more interesting is that the private sector is interested in the exchange concept as well.  On one level, shopping sites such as ehealthinsurance are a type of exchange.  ehealthinsurance has been providing a consolidated online shopping experience for health insurance for over a decade, and are a leading source of sales for many carriers.  They’re even licensing their underlying technology, such as to power a private exchange for Blue Cross Blue Shield of Minnesota.  That exchange supports a defined contribution plan that employers can use to give their employees more choices.  The Minnesota Blues may have felt pressure from competitor Medica, which announced its own private exchange earlier this year.  The Medica exchange is powered by Bloom Health, which itself was acquired last fall by Wellpoint, HCSC (the holding company for Blues plans in Illinois, Texas, New Mexico, and Oklahoma), and Blue Cross Blue Shield of Michigan.   Obviously those large Blue plans see a big future in exchanges.

Other Blue plans are joining the movement, including Highmark (with Array Health) and Blue Cross Blue Shield of Kansas City.  Of course, it’s not only the Blues that see a new world in private exchanges.  Companies such as Liazon or ConnectedHealth started out aiming to assist consumers in selecting health insurance, but now are reorienting themselves to an exchange approach.  Consulting firms such as Aon Hewitt and Towers see themselves in the exchange business, because even their larger customers – even self-funded ones -- are interested in that approach.  Towers just purchased Extend Health, which claims to be the largest private Medicare insurance exchange.     

Let’s face it: employer-based coverage may have seen its heyday, regardless of what happens to ACA.  A recent survey by GfK Custom Research found only 56% of employers are sure they would keep offering coverage once ACA fully kicks in; 12% said they would drop coverage, and almost a third did not know what they will do.  CBO recently estimated only a small – 3 to 5 million people – loss in employment-based coverage due to ACA.  Time will tell how large the effect is, but it’s a safe bet that the number is going down, not up.  EBRI’s analysis of Census data suggest that the percentage of people with employer coverage has steadily declined over the past decade, dropping from 69% to 59% from 2000 to 2010.  Those numbers reflect both a shift in jobs into industries less likely to provide coverage and employers finding offering coverage increasingly too costly, and neither of those trends is going away, regardless of ACA’s fate.  There is going to be more directly purchased individual coverage. 

Exchanges – private or public, through an employer defined contribution approach or for individual coverage – should help consumers by providing more choices, facilitating meaningful comparison of choices, and simplifying enrollment.  What’s not to like?  

When you come to think about it, the tax preference for employer-based coverage is nice, but it may increasingly rankle more consumers to have their employer dictate not only what options they have but also what specific treatments, diagnoses, or procedures are covered – as the recent contraception mess highlighted.   I have previously written on these negative aspects of the employment-based system.  Shouldn’t we all have broad choices, with easy comparisons? 

The bitter partisan feuds over ACA and the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act (which included HITECH) obfuscate some of the good ideas contained in them.  I have a hard time seeing a future of our health care system (absent single payor) that does not include:

  • provider structures similar to ACOs;
  • payment approaches based on value-based purchasing;
  • increased health IT, such as EHRs and health information exchanges;
  • health insurance exchanges.

Those genies may be out of the bottle, as both the public sector and the private sector are pursuing these concepts aggressively, and neither is likely to stop even if ACA is struck down or repealed.  It would be fitting, and perhaps ironic, if the fruits of these approaches end up being ACA’s true legacy.  

Friday
Jan062012

Health Care Data Predictions for 2012

By Clive Riddle, January 6, 2012

The Ponemon Institute just released this list of top 2012 predictions in healthcare data, that they edited from various health care data thought leaders:

  1. Healthcare organizations will not be immune to data breach risks caused by the spread of mobile devices in the workforce, according to Dr. Larry Ponemon, chairman and founder, Ponemon Institute. In the recent benchmark study, 81 percent of healthcare providers say they use mobile devices to collect, store, and/or transmit some form of PHI. However 49 percent of those admit they are not taking steps to secure their mobile devices.

  2. Class-action litigation firestorms are imminent, says Kirk Nahra, partner, Wiley Rein LLP. Class-action lawsuits will be on the rise in 2012, as patients are suing healthcare organizations for failing to protect their PHI. 2011 saw several class-action lawsuits for organizations, some of which involved business associates, due to breached patient data. Regardless of the outcomes, these lawsuits are a significant risk and tremendous expense for companies affected by them.

  3. Social media risks in healthcare will grow, according to Chris Apgar, CEO and president, Apgar & Associates, LLC. As more physicians and healthcare organizations move to social media to communicate with patients and promote services, the misuse of social media will increase as will the risk of exposure of PHI. Often healthcare organizations do not develop a social media use plan and employees represent a significant risk, potentially exposing PHI through their own personal social network pages. These risks can lead to patient vulnerabilities, data breaches, civil penalties, loss of business and more.

  4. Cloud computing is not a panacea; technology is outpacing security and creating unprecedented liability risks, suggests James C. Pyles, principal, Powers Pyles Sutter & Verville PC. With fewer resources, cloud computing is an attractive option for healthcare providers, especially as Health Information Exchanges (HIE) increase. However, privacy and legal issues abound, such as compliance with HIPAA privacy and security regulations and allocation of liability when a privacy breach occurs. A covered entity will need to enter into a carefully written business associate agreement with a cloud computing vendor before disclosing protected health information and should ensure that it has adequate cybersecurity insurance to cover the direct and indirect costs of a breach.

  5. Growing reliance on business associates will create new risks, believes Larry Walker, president of The Walker Company. Economic realities will force healthcare providers to continue to outsource many of their functions, such as billing, to third parties or business associates (BA). However, BAs are considered the "weak link in the chain," when it comes to data privacy and security. 69 percent of organizations that participated in the Ponemon study have little or no confidence in their business associates' ability to secure patient data. Third-party mistakes account for 46 percent of data breaches reported in the study.

  6. Organizations risk reputation fallout, according to Rick Kam, president and co-founder of ID Experts and chair of the American National Standard Institute's (ANSI) "PHI Project," a project to research the financial impact of a healthcare data breach. Identity theft and medical identity theft resulting from data breach exposure are causing patients financial and emotional harm, often resulting in patients seeking out different medical providers. According to the Ponemon study, the average lifetime value of one patient is more than $113,000.

  7. Mobile will explode in healthcare, believes Christina Thielst, health administration consultant and blogger. The use of tablets, smartphones and tablet applications in healthcare is growing exponentially. Nearly one-third of healthcare providers use mobile devices to access Electronic Medical Records or Electronic Health Records (EMR/EHR) systems, according to a CompTIA study. Providers will need to balance usability, preferences, security and budgetary concerns, as well as adopt written terms of use with employees and contractors using personal devices at work.

  8. Increased emphasis on willful neglect leads to increased enforcement of HIPAA, according to Adam Greene, partner, Davis, Wright, Tremaine LLP. The focus over the next year will be on the 150 HITECH Act audits and publication of the final rules implementing modifications to the HIPAA regulations. But the biggest changes may be at the OCR investigative level. Expect OCR to more aggressively pursue enforcement against noncompliance due to "willful neglect" starting in 2012, resulting in a sharp uptake in financial settlements and fines in the coming years. 2012 will be the year that OCR expects everyone's training wheels to have come off their privacy and security programs.

  9. Privacy and security training will be an annual requirement, says Peter Cizik, co-founder and CEO, BridgeFront. Healthcare organizations have gotten better at putting procedures in place, but staff are still not following them. Because the majority of breaches are caused by human error, not technology failures, targeted training and awareness programs are one of the most effective ways to prevent data breaches.

  10. Rise in fraudsters will increase fraud risk education, according to Jonnie Massey, supervisor, Special Investigations Unit, Oregon Dental Service (ODS) Companies. Pressure, opportunity and rationalization: these three dangerous elements of the triangle can lead to committing a healthcare-related crime. During hard economic times, there are more fraudsters and more opportunities for them to gain or keep a healthcare benefit they are not entitled to. Educating those at risk for fraud and communicating consequences may deter someone from stepping over the line or help those at risk to prevent them from being a victim of healthcare fraud.

  11. Healthcare organizations will turn to cyber liability insurance, according to Christine Marciano, president, Cyber Data Risk Managers LLC. As healthcare organizations continue to implement their EHR systems, they will consider options to protect themselves and their patients. When a healthcare organization or other HIPAA covered entity suffers a data breach the cost can be damaging not only to an entity's bottom line, but also to the reputation of its brand. With the increased vulnerabilities and as part of a data breach response plan, healthcare organizations will increasingly turn to a cyber security/data breach insurance policy
Friday
Dec022011

Ten Trends to Tend to in Two Thousand Twelve

By Clive Riddle, December 1, 2011

Alliteration abounds inside the MCOLBlog crystal ball. What trends and issues will significantly shape the business of health care in 2012? The MCOLBlog crystal ball knows all, sees all, and now tells all:

  1. Supreme Court Affordable Care Act decision and presidential election will either cause chaos, or be impetus to for those waiting on sidelines to get moving

    If the Supreme Court knocks down just the Insurance mandate, a mess will ensue. If the Supreme Court knocks down the entire Affordable Care Act, supreme chaos will ensue. How to handle all the midstream programs and initiatives, how to undo some things that perhaps can’t be undone? Confusion will reign for awhile in this event, as detailed guidance won’t be handed down the same day as the court’s decision. To whatever degree stakeholders perceive the outcome of the presidential election will change - or keep - the administration, Affordable Care Act implementation activities could grind to a halt or hasten the pace. Should the Supreme Court validate the Affordable Care Act, and should the current administration be re-elected, the stakeholders who have chosen to sit on the sidelines will be pushed to get more than their toe in the water of the deep end of the pool.

  2. Attempts to dodge the bullets of Automatic Medicare Payment Cuts will consume Providers lobbying resources

    So the SuperCommittee failed. HFMA cites that as result, and barring a subsequent agreement,  “Medicare provider payments would be reduced by up to 2 percent, while Medicaid would be spared. Hospitals would likely see an estimated $63 billion in Medicare cuts through 2021, while physician reimbursements would be reduced by $25 billion, according to forecasts by the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services.” Conventional wisdom is that some agreement will be reached in 2012 to avert a Medicare provider disaster, but this will be at the expense of consuming the waking hours and legal & regulatory budgets of hospital, physician and related providers and their industry associations.

  3. Significant resources will be allocated towards the holy grail of reducing preventable hospital readmissions

    Purchasers, whether they be Medicare, Medicaid or Commercial, are driving the readmissions train through hospitals in the form of value based payment arrangements, compliance requirements, and other structures. Hospitals are generally onboard, but the question remains where the train is headed. Can- and will - true improvements in quality and utilization be achieved; and how will this be accomplished? A lot of money and resources will be spent by hospitals, medical groups, vendors and purchasers in this pursuit. The jury is still out on the ROI – MCOL’s own October 2011 stakeholder e-poll asked “do you feel the current level of national attention and initiatives regarding hospital readmissions will ultimately result in significant reductions in avoidable readmissions?” 40% answered yes, 49% maybe and 11% no. The same e-poll indicated “Identification and Case Management of High At-Risk Patients” as the top choice as the single most important factor in reducing overall hospital readmission rates. The problem for 2012 is in identifying the high risk patients. A recent JAMA article by Devan Kansagara MD et.al. concluded that “most current readmission risk prediction models that were designed for either comparative or clinical purposes perform poorly.”

  4. Hospital Systems will ramp up physician integration initiatives

    Many hospital systems are already at various points down this path. 2012 will see them taking steps forward, not backward, and increased traffic from new travelers. Nearly three-fourths of physicians surveyed by PwC “are already in financial relationships with hospitals, and more than half said they want to move closer financially.”

  5. The shift to Value Based Provider Payments will be in full swing

    It isn’t just about ACO payment arrangements. Value based provider payments are to officially be named the flavor of the year at all employer, health plan, government and provider network restaurants in 2012.

  6. ACO progress will occur in Commercial  health plan initiatives

    ACO development slowed in 2011 until the Medicare Shared Savings Program Final Rule was issued, and offered somewhat more favorable conditions for at least some stakeholders, and now the brakes have been lifted from a number of provider Medicare ACO initiatives. But the timetable for these programs is longer, and the real hub of ACO activity in 2012 is in commercial health plan partnerships, which continue to spring up. An increased number of commercial ventures will appear in 2012, and results (good and bad) from early adopters will become more apparent.

  7. Accelerated demise of the small physician practice

    The list of woes for a small physician practice is long, growing, and facing a number of impending deadlines and other “shoes” to drop. Pick your poison: Meaningful Use compliance; ICD-10 conversion;  increased overhead costs in an economic downturn; the specter of Medicare and other program payment cuts (see above); increased difficulties in recruiting junior partners to a small practice; increased patient expectations for ehr, patient portal and other technological capabilities; increased purchaser compliance requirements; value based provider payment arrangements that require greater infrastructure to succeed; and purchaser initiatives and market forces to drive patient populations into more integrated networks.

  8. “Retailization” of health care will advance more than ever

    There are so many marketplace, health reform and other forces converging to fuel the” retailization” of  health care beyond its current orbit. Medicare, and increasingly – Medicaid, offer selection choices at the individual level. Public and numerous private health insurance exchange initiatives are in full swing (with private initiatives immune from any Supreme Court or election-day mood swings) that offer significant potential to drive a material portion of commercial health plan offerings into a full retail venue. Consumer driven plans still continue to grow, which nudge the health care consumer into more of a retail mode. Generic drugs (see below) are now often priced below health plan copayment levels, meaning consumer can shop on a retail basis for applicable generics regardless of health insurance restrictions. Employer and health plan continue to expand initiatives to further empower consumers, such as with wellness initiatives, or to offer new direct access choices such as on-site clinics. Furthermore, technology enhancements and expansion, via web portals, mobile pda apps, consumer ehr interfaces, and much more, continue to facilitate this retail environment.

  9. Implications of Consumers’ further embrace of generics will be far reaching

    What was innovative several years ago when Walmart introduced national flat copayment-0like retail pricing for their generics, is now mainstream with major pharmacies. Generics accounted for 78 percent of retail prescriptions in 2010, up from 63 percent in 2006. Health plan and employer initiatives to drive consumers further towards generics were taken up a number of notches by these pharmacies’ retail pricing programs. Beyond increased use of generics, there are a number of implications for 2012 and beyond. Pharmacies will continue to enhance and shift  their retail marketing efforts and channels for these package priced generics. Consumers are now increasingly purchasing their generic drugs outside of their health insurance because the price is below the cost sharing requirement (see above). This could ultimately drive even more health plan prescription benefit designs into deductibles (to pull these outside prescriptions back into the fold – as the consumer would need to meet the deductible requirement.) In the short term, the situation will cause an increasing vexing problem for providers and health plans trying to maintain a complete ehr for a patient, and prevent data loss for analytics staff trying to manage these patient populations


  10. Health Plan M&A Activities will continue to concentrate in government sector

    Many health plans are strategically trying to increase their member mix with program patients (vs commercial.) 2011 witnessed a number of such national health plan acquisitions of companies serving these populations: Cigna acquiring HealthspringAmeriGroup acquiring Health Plus (Medicaid); WellPoint acquiring CareMore; and UnitedHealthGroup acquiring XLHealth.  2012 should witness additional acquisitions, including more Medicaid in addition to Medicare. As Medicaid has a large presence of non-profit and publicly owned plans, such ventures may also be in the form of management contracts and other structures.
Tuesday
Nov152011

A Health Care “Moon Shot”

By Kim Bellard, November 15, 2011

There was a great op-ed in the New York Times a few days ago, in which Frank Moss – a former Director at M.I.T.’s Media Lab – called for a radically different approach to health care, a technology-driven approach he calls “consumer health.”  It would use technology to monitor and advise consumers about their health, with technology-based consultation with physicians or other health care professionals as appropriate.  Moss argues that not only might this approach improve health and reduce costs, but also would create significant export opportunities.  I like many of the ideas, but what I especially love is the call to be truly bold, like President Kennedy’s call to put a man on the moon in the 1960’s.  You don’t see much boldness in health care reform these days.  

There are things about Moss’s future that trouble me – it can seem a little Big Brother-ish – but the technology is, in many ways, the easy part of reforming the health care system; it is the rest of the infrastructure that stands in our way.

To that end, and on the advice of Daniel Burnham (“Make no little plans; they have no magic to stir men’s blood…”), here are sacred cows I’ll take on:

  • More consumer responsibility: for all the complaints about how expensive health care is, most consumers have been spoiled.   I.e., only 31% of covered workers have a deductible of $1,000 or more, their average copayment for a primary care physician is still only $22, and their portion of premium contributions was only 18% for single coverage/28% for family coverage (Kaiser Family Foundation).   Certainly some individuals and families are devastated by health care costs – and this is unacceptable – but the frustrating part is that the system, by and large, doesn’t reward consumers for managing their health effectively. 

    We don’t want to punish people who have high health costs simply because of what is, essentially, an accident – whether that be genetic, physical calamity, or unexpected exposure to infections, to name a few.  Regardless of what their health status is or how it got that way, we do want to reward people who actively take efforts to maintain and improve their health.  Various wellness programs – typically employer-based – attempt to do this, but their ability to monitor, intervene, and reward has historically been fairly limited.  With the new technological tools that are or soon will be available, we will be in a much better position to actually observe desired behaviors – and we should use those to strongly reward individuals who actively exhibit those behaviors.  If auto insurance companies can base rates on monitored safe driving patterns (see, for example, this), why wouldn’t we want the same kind of rewards in health insurance?  Lower premiums, real-time lower cost-sharing, and/or actual monetary rewards are all be options that should be used.  Consumers who do not take appropriate actions, or who do not choose to be monitored, need to be willing to bear the financial consequences of those decisions.

  • End employer-based coverage: Employer-based coverage has been the dominant form of health coverage in the U.S. since the 1940’s.  Employers have pushed insurance companies into many of the innovations of the past thirty years, such as care management, more aggressive provider contracting, an emphasis on quality and outcomes, and more focus on wellness.  In many ways, it has been the employers – particularly large, self-funded employers -- who have been the leaders in innovation.  That being said, employers can also be blamed for ending community-based premiums, for “job lock,” and for creating such a myriad of distinct benefit plans that few consumers or providers can understand them, much less compare.   

    There are a few reasons why ending employer-based coverage will or should happen.  One is the money.  The tax preference for employer contributions to health coverage remains one of the largest federal tax preferences.  With our soaring budget deficits, it is only a matter of time before this preference is eliminated or sharply reduced – the so-called “Cadillac-plan” tax in ACA is just the start.  The second is the existence of a viable alternative.  Currently, there are many barriers to widespread adoption of individual health insurance, but once ACA’s exchanges and prohibition of medical underwriting go into effect in 2014 (unless the law is repealed or does not survive its various legal challenges), obtaining individual coverage will become much more attractive.  Indeed, McKinsey estimated 30% of employers would drop their coverage once the exchanges become operational (although this estimate was not without skeptics).   Personally, I wonder why the number is as low as 30%.  Third and finally, in the kind of monitored world that Moss calls for – which is already starting to happen – there will be increasing privacy concerns about what information one’s employer has access to.  We’ve already seen employers making employees pay more in premiums based on participation in various screenings or wellness programs, and even prohibitions against certain types of non-job behaviors (e.g., smoking).  With the kind of monitoring Moss discusses, the type and amount of potential data becomes much more personal.  At some point, consumers are going to rebel about their employer’s oversight of their lives.

  • Reform medical education & licensure:  With the much lamented trend towards specialty and sub-specialty, by the time a physician gets into practice much of his initial training may be out-of-date, not to mention his/her having spent a small fortune.   Victor Fucks has eloquently argued for more distinct yet faster approaches to training, and that is the kind of fresh approach we should be considering.  I would go even further.  As a layman, the distinction between allopathic and osteopathic medicine has always been murky to me.  Throw in chiropractic, podiatric, acupuncture, nurse practitioners, and the array of health care practitioners begins to look like something from the 19th century medicine.  One is surprised that phrenology is no longer on the list of extant medical professions.  We need a Flexner Report for the 21st century, not focused just on allopathic training but on medical education period.  Blow it up and start fresh, with a comprehensive, empirically based approach, based on validated medical practices rather than on historical professional silos, and with different end points based on type of practitioner.

    As for licensure, I’ve previous blogged about the seeming ineffectiveness of state medical boards and on issues relating to licensure’s impact on telehealth.  Public Citizen’s analysis indicates fewer than half of physicians who suffered clinical practice actions also had state licensing actions.   It leads one to wonder: whose interest is the current system serving?  If we can monitor individuals in real time and advise them on better health behavior, certainly we should be able to do the same for physicians, and to use data to make better decisions about which health care professionals are practicing appropriately.  Licensure shouldn’t be based on reputation, state of residency, old boy networks, fear of impact on malpractice suits, or other constraints that aren’t keenly focused on better patient care.  It should be based on ongoing, proven performance.  We can do better. 

I could go on with this list of reforms – and I may in future blogs – but I’ll stop for now.  Each of the above changes would be a monumental task in itself, with many interest groups heavily entrenched in the status quo.  Still, to use another oft-quoted line – if not us, who?  If not now, when?

 

Tuesday
Jul192011

Hot Temperatures, Hot Rhetoric: Turn on the AC

By Cyndy Nayer, July 18, 2011

The news shows this Sunday morning focused on the debt ceiling, a concept causing higher angst and tempers across our very hot country.  Of course, a large part of the discussion is the cost of health care in the country, and the political v clinical costs of cutting benefits and resultant strains on the health care delivery system.  So, on this sunny/rainy day in southwest Florida, typical for this time of year, I began thinking about a concept and a slide that I created about 3 years ago.  As the weather here and across the country is speeding to 100+ degrees, the body screams “cool it off,” much like the body politic is screaming about the debt ceiling.  That conflict of politics, health care, and hot temperatures was actually, was the genesis of the slide, and the concept,  that I created called Turn on the AC. 

A play on words, as noted, is often how I begin to frame the “what ifs” in my thoughts.  What if we could cool off the…..for just a bit and have a conversation to reconsider some alternatives—I remember thinking just that in late 2008, as the economy tanked and my speaking engagements picked up.  At the time, I was using the frame of “7 Wonders of Health Value Innovation,” teaching the attendees at various summits how value-based benefit designs could provide relief to a stressed corporate America.  I also remember one of my colleagues telling me, “Cyndy, a little less gloom and doom.”  But that was not really what I was proposing.  Rather, I was setting up a “what if” scenario of plummeting housing market, lower tax revenues, job cuts, hospital distress due to lower disproportionate share reimbursement (this is the Medicaid reimbursement to hospitals for providing care when there is no insurance coverage), public employees losing jobs due to lower tax revenues from lower property values, and so on.

The bad news is, 3 years later, the problem has not gone away.  Now, it’s enveloped in a bigger problem called the debt ceiling.  And this blog is NOT about the debt ceiling.  I have many things to say about debt ceiling, and none of them would I like in print, except to say this game that’s going on in Washington is not helping tax revenues, corporations, working people, unemployed people, health care access, or property valuations.  Back to the subject…

The set-up was, and still is, about the uncomfortable feeling from hot weather.  Debt ceilings contribute to the hot weather feelings, but turning on the AC can help.  We need a cool-down, one in which we remember our basic focus is a healthy, engaged, high performing America.  So, with that in mind, I update “Turn on the AC.”

1.     Accountable Consumers.  At the crux of the problem of escalating health care costs is the entitlement v accountability debate within the consumer population.  Forget, for just a moment, whether insurance is involved.  Each of us has a responsibility to care for our health as the one investment that needs to be fully-funded for our lifetime.  There are some fundamentals here that should be reiterated.

a.     Set goals and write them down.  If you’ve heard me speak, you know I am quite enthusiastic about personal health records.  As a former trainer of fitness trainers/employer health strategist/chair of the Governor’s Council on Health and Fitness, the number one behavior change strategy that I proposed then and continue to enforce is “write it down, measure it daily.”  “You can’t manage what you don’t measure,” applies to corporate strategy, so but it’s a curious item that folks don’t realize the same applies to them:  you have to set goals (small, large), then measure your success in attaining them.  No exceptions.

b.     Get the preventive care that you need.  Love it or hate it, the Accountable Care Act has ingrained this into our lives now.  In the Health Value AcceleratorTM that is being deployed in many communities now, I’m seeing just how much of an “un-engagement” this is.  In many companies, particularly larger companies (over 10,000 employees), there is less than 10% participation in primary care for prevention.  Yet, there is no cheaper investment any consumer/patient/employee/mother/father/child can make:  get your physical, your immunizations, your age-appropriate screenings.

c.      Get your family involved.  If you are the health advocate for your family, share the info you are learning.  Take the kids on a walk after dinner.  In my house, it’s about encouraging my husband to exercise, so I “coax” our fabulous dog, Phoebe, to take him for walks.  Families that eat healthy and exercise tend to forestall health issues.

d.     Spread the word at work.  Share your story of success, of challenges.  Volunteer to coordinate walking groups or healthy vending snacks.  Make your voice heard on health improvement ideas. 

e.     Reward yourself.  If you are doing well on your journey, don’t reward yourself with the hot fudge sundae, but, instead, perhaps a manicure or a movie?  New walking shoes?  Even a lovely glass of wine?  Consumer-driven rewards are completely satisfying, as no one else is dictating either your behaviors or your rewards.  Step up to identifying those rewards that will keep you motivated. 

The key message here is that YOU are responsible for your health—your doctor, your counselor, your fitness trainer, your financial advisor are your consultants, not your health-owners.  You simply must assume this responsibility or be subject to the whims of the market place and latest insurance products.  If you want some semblance of normalcy in your health, own it, track it, demand it, enjoy it. 

2.     Accountable Corporations.  Business is the backbone of America.  Business provides revenue for us to buy houses, support social causes, and even campaign for elected officials.  But business that creates barriers for its employees to get health is not a healthy business.  Wasteful spending in the health system has been calculated at up to $1.2 trillion of the $2.2 trillion spent in the United States, more than half of all health spending.  (PriceWaterhouseCooper)  Whether your position is that the ACA is going to help businesses or hurt businesses with its legislation, realize that every week there are new rulings, and American business cannot afford to waste one minute waiting for “final rulings.” 

Recently we all read that one consulting enterprise predicted what many of us saw as an abnormally high exit from corporate health benefits.  In our survey from the Center for Health Value Innovation (176 companies, 4 million lives)we saw no numbers that came close to this prediction, and, evidently, neither did many of the other large consulting companies.  But what we did hear last week was another challenge for American business:  new rules on the Health Insurance Exchanges said that states did not have to launch them by 2014—the date can be 2015, or perhaps beyond. 

What this means to American businesses is, once again, the heat is on, and the ball is back in your court.  There’s no time to waste in getting your employees healthy, re-engaging them in managing their health.  Value-based designs are one tool, and I don’t have to reinforce that message—it’s also in the ACA:  reduce beneficiary out-of-pocket costs for valuable services.  But take it a bit further:  consider those rewards, or incentives, that are outside of the insurance plan design.  How about a contest for movie tickets?  How about a healthy lunch for the business channel with the most people who get their flu shots or track 150 minutes of exercise in one week?  Think of games and challenges that cause an uptake in healthy behaviors, and applaud your champions.  Create a business expectation that people who work at your company are expected to manage their health and that the company respects all efforts for improved health.  Create a culture of engagement, in which employees bolster employees’ efforts at health promotion. Colleagues at Journal of Occupational and Environment Medicine, Pam Hymel MD and others, have written extensively about the link of health to corporate performance.  Build your culture of engagement so that you create accountability from the C-Suite to the receptionist and beyond.

3.     Accountable Care.  This, too, is part of the national and local change that is occurring with the ACA.  But in 2008, and even now (hard to believe that the measures are the same 3 years later), my focus was on the delivery system to deliver health as we want and measure it:  healing with less infections, less mistakes, less days absent, less avoidable pain and suffering, less use of unneeded diagnostics and treatments; care with more compassion, more time to listen, more care coordination so that people are not “on their own”; more interoperability so that records support efficient care. 

The 2008 AC slide was the genesis of the Outcomes-Based Contracting platform that has become the extension of everything value-based and patient-provider-engaging.  Identifying high performance providers and systems, creating benefits plans that guide consumers to competency and better health care, and linking these delivery system improvements to the shared rewards for all of the stakeholders, is true American engineering.  Removing friction and competition for dollars, installing competition for a “better outcome” is the foundation of accountable care.  Medical Homes, care coordination, benefits advocates who coach beneficiaries on improved behaviors and their link to lower premiums or expanded services—all of these are part of Accountable Care, but only if we hold our principles intact:  efficiency, effective care, and appropriate care delivered in a timely, competent fashion.  Self-insured employers understand the link and are searching for ways to direct contract with organizations so that, togetherm the accountability link is communicated. 

4.     Accountable Communities.  When the AC is going full-blast, when the accountable consumers support the efforts of the accountable corporations, who, in turn, provide healthcare coverage to the employees through identification and purchasing of outcomes-focused suppliers, the community at-large benefits.  Accountability grows in small increments, but its effect is felt throughout the families and corporations that benefit from the improved service lines and improved health status of the citizens.   When 1 or 3 or 7 corporations demand hospital-based performance metrics, everyone who uses that hospital benefits from the improved quality.  When 1 or 3 or 7 corporations demand to pay for disease management that builds engagement (instead of numbers of calls made to beneficiaries who may never engage), the systems for disease management change and the others in the community benefit.  When benefits coaches help employees and their families not only choose the right insurance plan but use it for full maximum value, they teach other families how to maximize their health benefits.  When few people use the emergency room for primary care, and instead use lower-cost onsite or offsite clinics or telehealth Emergency Room visits, more resources are saved for under-insured and uninsured folks—more accountability for choice leads to better use of existing resources.

What the AC focus does is create engagement across single, multiple, and varied participants in the health value supply chain.  AC shares the requirement of engagement and builds the outcome of accessible, affordable, actionable care.  AC rewards all of the engaged participants with lower costs and fuller wallets due to appropriate care at the right resource at the right time.  AC limits inappropriate use, instability in resource budgets, and insufficient funds for treatments that could have been managed more effectively and more efficiently “upstream,” when they didn’t cost so very much in dollars, pain, and stress.

So, on these hot days of summer, consider cooling down and challenging yourself and your constituents to a better outcome.  Turn up the AC, from the Accountable Consumer to the Accountable Corporation, to the Accountable Care and the Accountable Community.  Walk earlier, when it’s not so hard to breathe.  Consume more locally-grown fruits and vegetables to protect your heart on these hot days and protect the revenues in your community.  Create co-worker opportunities to learn and share improved health management techniques. 

And don't forget about that debt ceiling.  Be the Accountable Constituent and let your local and national representatives know how you feel.  It will reduce your body temperature and lower your stress levels.  We could all use that right now.

Tuesday
Apr192011

Strategic Opportunity Index…On The Rise

By Lindsay Resnick, April 18, 2011

“Strategic planning is worthless, unless there is first a strategic vision.” (J. Naisbitt)

In healthcare and insurance, like many other industries navigating today’s economic and political woes, the future belongs to those best able to manage in markets characterized by intense competitive rivalry, continuous regulatory disruption, and information empowered consumers.

Developing a well-honed strategic vision works to anticipate change, focus on competitive threats, and assess long-term business implications. To be effective, it’s essential that your vision draws on sophisticated customer insight. The goal is to take an organization where it needs to be by creating a roadmap on how to get there.

At its core, a sustainable strategic vision is built around an effort that allows management to look deep within the organization, ask & answer tough questions, and make informed decisions about strategic options. The following questions provide a strategy “stress test” to help refine your planning process starting at the intersection of three key business drivers: competitors, customers and company.

  1. How are you different from competitors…comparative market advantages/disadvantages?
  2. Are you leveraging a sustainable Dominant Selling Idea that delivers customer value?
  3. How are you selecting new markets, products and services?
  4. Who are your top five competitors and why do you beat them…why do you lose?
  5. Have you developed proprietary insights and translated them into actionable strategy?
  6. Are you ahead of competitive trends and industry best practices?
  7. Where’s the customer in the marketing mix…product, price, promotion, and place?
  8. Have you identified and/or neutralized uncertainty in the decision process?
  9. Is there cross-management buy-in and commitment to addressing the future?
  10. Are you managing institutional bias to facilitate diversification and innovation?
  11. Is there a willingness to invest in execution…talent, capital, operations and distribution?
  12. Is strategy translated into an action plan…scenario planning, timing and accountability?

Smart companies are raising their “opportunity index” by thinking about their business in ways that look very different from today’s enterprise. They are embracing a strategic planning process that openly challenges leadership across the organization in order to pinpoint future direction—make data-driven decisions, embrace customer centric thinking, adjust business assumptions, and act with deliberate speed. After all, strategic vision represents the futurity of today’s decisions.

Thursday
Feb102011

Looking Backward and Forward at How Industry Insiders View Trends

by Clive Riddle,  February 10, 2011

As part of the annual Future Care Web Summit, attendees as well as MCOL members participate in an e-poll on health care business trends for the coming year. The Tenth annual event concluded two weeks ago, and we’re ready to share results from the survey along with a comparison to responses from previous years for questions that have been asked each year.

Respondents were asked which of the listed health care business trends they thought would have the single greatest overall impact in 2011. This question has been posed annually. Here are the responses for the past eight years:

Trend 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004
Advances in health care technology 8.0% 6.2% 3.4% 11.8% 7.5% 16.6% 13.6% 11.9%
Consumer Driven health plans 7.3% 7.0% 3.4% 13.4% 18.5.% 21.0% 22.7% 14.4%
Compliance issues 4.4% 7.0% 1.1% 0.8% 3.4% 0.8% 0.9% 5.9%
Effects of the Recession 13.9% 26.4% 57.3% NA NA NA NA NA
Health Care Reform Initiatives   49.2% 37.2% 21.3% 23.6% 11.0% 28.1% 13.6% 4.3%
Increased consumer cost sharing 11.0% 5.4% 9.0% 33.9% 40.4% 25.8% 38.2% 35.6%
Population Health initiatives 3.6% 5.4% 3.4% 12.6% 7.5% 3.0% 5.5% 23.7%
Other 2.2% 5.4% 1.1% 3.9% 11.6% 4.5% 5.5% 4.2%
Grand Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

One can certainly see the ebb and flow of certain trends over time: the peaking of consumer driven plans and consumer cost sharing after the introduction of HSAs; the realignment of all factors taking back seat to the Great Recession in 2009; and the recent passage of health reform.

While respondents were generally consistent this year regarding these responses by their organization type, there were a few notable exceptions:

  • 25% of vendors viewed population health initiatives as the top trend, compared to 1% of all other respondents. 
  • 12.5% of providers viewed advances in health care technology as the top trend compared to 4.2% of all other respondents
  • 18.7% of providers viewed the effects of the recession as the top trend compared to 9.7% of all other respondents

This year, we asked respondents to rate the ultimate anticipated impact in the marketplace of these selected health reform provisions:

  • Accountable Care Organization Development (ACO)
  • Health Plan Medical Loss Ratio Regulation (MLR)
  • State Health Insurance Exchanges (Exchange)
  • Extension of Dependent Care Coverage (Depend)
  • EHR Development - Meaningful Use (EHR)
  • Health Insurance Guaranteed Issue/ Elimination of Pre-Existing Conditions (Guarantee)
  • Expansion of Medicaid Coverage (Medicaid)
  • Mandated Coverage Provisions for Business and Individuals (Mandate)

Here’s how these provisions stacked up against each other:

Provision Significant Moderate Little None/Won't Happen Unsure
ACO 30.6% 32.1% 23.3% 5.8% 8.0%
MLR 28.4% 38.6% 19.7% 4.3% 8.7%
Exchange 34.3% 36.5% 19.7% 4.3% 5.1%
Depend 22.0% 30.1% 44.1% 2.2% 1.4%
EHR 35.7% 32.8% 23.3% 3.6% 4.3%
Guarantee 37.5% 33.8% 19.8% 5.1% 3.6%
Medicaid 39.5% 41.7% 13.4% 1.4% 3.7%
Mandate 40.1% 35.0% 13.1% 7.3% 4.3%

 

The Mandate, under attack in federal appeal courts, was drew the highest level of response of any provision in both the Significant and the None/Won’t Happen categories.

Lastly, we asked respondents to rank these stakeholders as winners or losers for the coming year. It would appear Consumers and pharmaceutical organizations are viewed as the biggest winners, and employers and physicians are viewed as the biggest losers.

Stakeholder Better Off Same Worse Off
Consumers 37.0% 26.8% 36.2%
Employers 15.3% 29.9% 54.7%
Health Plans 31.9% 31.2% 37.0%
Hospitals 24.8% 34.3% 40.9%
Physicians 21.2% 29.2% 49.6%
Pharmaceutical 34.6% 42.6% 22.8%

 

Being that respondents are a bit negative, tending to rank most stakeholders as “worse off” each year, we’ll examine “worse off: responses from a historical perspective for each stakeholder:

Worse Off

Consumers

Employers

Health Plans

Hospitals

Physicians

Pharmaceutical

2011

36.2%

54.7%

37.0%

40.9%

49.6%

22.8%

2010

65.9%

58.1%

55.0%

49.6%

41.1%

20.9%

2009

68.5%

67.0%

54.0%

61.4%

44.8%

35.2%

2008

75.3%

47.4%

12.8%

41.0%

50.0%

16.9%

2007

71.7%

34.9%

11.0%

45.2%

46.9%

29.2%

2006

69.7%

44.7%

45.5%

41.7%

11.6%

17.3%

2005

62.7%

42.7%

34.5%

38.2%

15.5%

25.5%

2004

78.0%

53.8%

33.1%

25.4%

14.4%

15.3%

2004

74.5%

61.8%

35.8%

31.2%

21.0%

13.9%

The historical perspective illustrates how dramatically respondents feel consumers change of fortune as occurred with health reform, compared to everyone else. Also interesting are the mood swings regarding health plan fortunes, and how physicians were seen as taking a turn for the worse starting in 2007.>/p>

For the 2011 Future Care e-poll, there were 137 respondents, consisting of 23% payors, 48% providers, 9% vendors and 20% others.

Monday
Jan032011

Five Key Trends for 2011

By Cyndy Nayer, January 3, 2011

Businesses are refocusing their efforts on the health of the workforce as new evidence shows that the right investments in the right context can drive better health and performance.  ACA, and the chaos surrounding it, had quieted down around July of 2010, but with the elections and their aftermath, the noise in the health care reform efforts became a cacophony of confusion.  And, somehow, with the approach of the holidays, the cacophony gave way to a new surround-sound system:  we have to get back to work in America.  So, while the legislators appear to be ready to fight to the knockout, America appears to be tuning out that noise.

It's imperative that the noise is muffled so that business can grow again.  Key trends that are accelerating this return-to-work philosophy can be drilled down to 5:

1.  Benefit design.  The realization is that business depends upon a healthy workforce.  Some businesses can off-shore their work to a less-expensive locale, but most cannot.  Therefore, innovation in benefit design is paramount.  And while there is some tension to leave health insurance benefit altogether, the mood appears to be softening a bit.  It's a profound realization that, with or without the health insurance benefits, business still needs a healthy and productive workforce.  So, un-managed individuals can't deliver on improved health, and insurance exchanges may offer a bit of relief to the healthcost-weary.  But the risk of the underinsured to the business is that safety incidences may rise (people engaged in their health are also engaged in their work); health costs may rise in the market, demanding higher tax revenues; and higher taxes and/or unhealthy people do not purchase products at the same rate as engaged, healthy people do.  So, benefit design, whether in-house, independent, or insurance exchange, will not go away.  And, value-based benefit designs will continue to show the improved health and reduced trends so very much needed at the business budget lines.

2.  Expansion of prevention and wellness.  As the former Chair of the Missouri Governor's Council on Health, I've never seen the rush to prevention and wellness at the speed in which it's now moving forward.  Partly it is attributable to the need to acquire healthier beneficiaries, that's true.  But it's also due to the fact that so much of the disease management efforts have delivered results only "around the edges":  rates of chronic disease continue to climb, every time one person stops smoking, another starts, and obesity is sweeping through our children like measles.  We must create a better waistlines in order to manage our business waste-lines:  obesity drives up rates of chronic disease across all populations and starts at a much younger age.  Innovation is building that will support physical activity, goal-setting and achievement, and personal health success.

3.  Acquisition of new care sources.  A quickly growing trend is the installation of onsite services and the expansion of onsite clinics into business sites in order to manage the total costs of care, reduce the barriers to early intervention, and even to treat the dependents and, sometimes, the community's health.  Using the skills of medical directors in these clinics, the rise of the medical director is reshaping the seat of power inside the business.  No longer is the medical director and his or her staff recognized only as the education director or the point person for flu shots.  Medical directors and their onsite clinics are showing phenomenal results in engagement and accountable care, and this growth will continue.  Telemedicine and medical travel will expand to competent providers with measurable outcomes.

4.  Personal Health Records will become the standard for IT.  As the use of electronic health records grows, there will be some who continue to rely on the physician and his/her office to manage "my" health.  But the real power of the first 3 trends noted here is the opportunity to create competent individuals who manage their health, health cost, and health purchases as wisely as the CEO of a business.  They record goals, strategies, measures, directional approach to targets; they use the medical system as a consult instead of the head of business at "My Health."  "My Health" becomes a tangible asset that the individual can take from employer to employer, from one physician to another.  Without it, and without putting the total information into the individual's repertoire for asset management, the rest of the IT will fail to connect all the points, because the real point of health care must be the improved health of the individual, and that only happens when the individual is engaged in the management.

5.  Outcomes-based contracting(TM).  I'm a bit biased here, so I want to be especially transparent on this one.  The level of interest in paying for outcomes is growing rapidly.  Transparency and quality forms the comparative platform for choosing which services to buy and from whom.  Creating a contractual arrangement in which all parties share risk (usually defined through a series of desired behavior changes) and share in rewards (savings are distributed across the stakeholders, including the individual) if the best way to insure value accrues to all the participants.  OBC is growing from the focus on pharmaceutical contracting to the outcomes improvement at the health system level, the accountability for care at the clinician level, and the benefit design that most fits my family or yours. For more information on OBC, please check out: http://bit.ly/OBCtmCHVI

These are powerful trends that hold the promise of delivering more value for the money spent in health care.  But they also re-focus the conversation on units of health instead of health care.  Any business knows how to buy units of supplies to create the products they will sell.  Individuals know how to buy units of bananas, weigh them, and pay for only the weight they receive.  Purchasing health care must be the same:  we need to know the cost, agree to the terms and manage the acquisition and use.  We need to get back to business.  The ACA will continue it's march...American business needs to get back to the business of America.

Wednesday
Dec222010

Strategy Makeover for Healthcare in 2011: PwC

by Clive Riddle, December 22, 2010

PricewaterhouseCoopers annually issues prognostication regarding key health care trends for the coming year that are worth taking note of. They’ve just issued a 22 page report in this regard: the Top Health Industry Issues of 2011 which you can download from here.

Here’s the six key trends PwC advises we prepare and position for, in anticipation that “health organizations will undergo a strategy makeover in 2011 as they react to new rules and payment models, continuing cost pressures and new customer demands”:

#1: Booming business in health information technology

#2: Gearing up to redefine health insurance: From MLRs to insurance exchanges

#3: ACOs: Is this the next big thing or not?

#4: Nowhere else to cost shift: Consumers could continue to reduce utilization

#5: M&A: Deals will bond the familiar and unfamiliar as organizations look to fill strategic gaps

#6: Follow-me healthcare: Patients look to health organizations that are always on

Rather than comment on their thoughts, I’ve chosen to provide a summary of each of the above trends verbatim from PwC:

1. Booming business in Health Information Technology (HIT)

The HIT spending boom is driven by (1) federal requirements that hospitals and physicians meet at least stage one requirements for the meaningful use of electronic health records to qualify for federal stimulus funds in 2011; (2) an aggressive timetable for massive upgrades in back-office infrastructure to comply with new medical coding requirements that will add five times the number of diagnosis and inpatient codes and require providers and payers to use the new HIPAA 5010 electronic transaction format, which will require more than 1,300 system modifications by January 2012; (3) final FDA rules that will require online reporting of adverse events related to medical devices, resulting in possible new tracking technology throughout the supply chain.

Stage one "meaningful use" requirements mean hospitals and physicians must be able to provide patients with an electronic copy of their health record upon request. But consumers are not asking. Nearly half of consumers (49%) surveyed still call their doctor's office to request paper medical records. While the policy goal of EHRs is to allow consumers to participate in shared medical decision-making, only 13 percent of consumers have ever been asked for input into what they would like to see in their electronic medical records or how they would like to use them.

2. Gearing up to redefine health insurance: From MLRs to insurance exchanges

The health reform law now requires health plans to spend a minimum of 80 to 85 cents of every premium dollar on medical care and health care quality improvements, depending on the size of the plan. If health plans spend less than the minimum threshold, they must give customers a rebate beginning in 2012. According to PwC, this would require an unprecedented level of actuarial precision for rate-setting, and insurers may opt to pay rebates rather than under price their products in the first year. Many insurers already are contemplating new pricing and rebate scenarios for group plans. At the same time, many employers are contemplating the advantages of employer-sponsored health coverage as health insurance exchanges come online. PwC anticipates a high level of state legislative activity as employers, health plans and states begin to work together in 2011 to define and develop health insurance exchanges.

3. ACOs: Is this the next big thing or not?

Accountable care organizations have created buzz in the industry that this is the next big thing for population health management. But 2011 could be a make-it-or-break-it year for ACOs depending on Congressional action. In anticipation of new performance payment incentives, health organizations are positioning themselves to participate in ACOs and share risks and rewards of keeping people healthier. While ACOs hold great promise for reduced costs and improved quality, the challenge will be keeping people in the ACO and engaging them to stay healthy, which could be the difference between profit and losses. PwC's research found significant demographic and geographic differences in consumers' willingness to seek all their care within ACO-like organizations, indicating the need for consumer segmentation strategies.

4. Nowhere else to cost shift: Consumers could continue to reduce utilization

Higher health insurance premiums, steeper deductibles and larger coinsurance mean consumers are spending more out of their own pockets for healthcare, and 60 percent of consumers surveyed by PwC expect to pay even more in the future. Yet cost shifting may have reached the end of the line as increased price sensitivity has caused consumers to cut back on utilization. PwC forecasts a trickle down effect, starting with physicians and pharmaceutical companies as consumers reduce office visits and drug spending, followed by reduced sales of other medical products, fewer lab tests, imaging scans and other diagnostics. The danger lies in whether short-term cost avoidance could lead to more expensive conditions long term.

5. M&A: Deals will bond the familiar and unfamiliar as organizations look to fill strategic gaps

Mergers and acquisition activity among all the healthcare sectors are expected to continue to trend upward in 2011. Within the pharmaceutical and life sciences sectors, PwC expects deals to focus on strategic mid-market transactions valued between $100 million to $500 million; international growth could yield larger transactions. Increased consolidation is expected among payers, physicians are aligning with hospitals, hospitals are merging with other hospitals and health systems, and recent deals reflect blurring of the lines between the payers and providers sectors. Competition for acquisitions is likely to come from private equity funds investing in healthcare. Though consumers are wary of the benefits of M&A, many seem open to new provider alliances. Seventy-eight percent of consumers said they would prefer to use a retail clinic partnered with a local hospital for primary care services versus only 22 percent who would prefer an independent company owned by a retail pharmacy.

6. Follow-me healthcare: Patients look to health organizations that are always on

The mobile health market is growing exponentially as health organizations use wireless and remote technology to interact with patients anytime, anywhere. To influence patient outcomes, organizations have to engage patients and understand how to connect with them. Healthcare organizations are spending tons of resources to produce online content, yet PwC found that consumers are three and a half times more likely to go to the media and third-party information service companies for information about treatments and conditions than to any other site, especially pharmaceutical company web sites. Only 11 percent of the people PwC surveyed said they would go to a pharmaceutical company for health information. Pharmaceutical companies have typically been removed from the end user of their product, but by understanding online preferences and adopting multi-channel strategies to meet consumers on their terms, pharmaceutical companies see an opportunity to significantly increase their visibility. 

Thursday
Dec162010

Ten Key Health Care Business Trends for 2011

by Clive Riddle, December 16, 2010

The time has come to start making a list, and checking it twice. What’s on your list of the trends that will shape how your organization proceeds through the new year? Here’s my take on some key trends that will affect the business of health care in 2011:

1. Impact of Health Reform Backlash:
A Republican House, negative public opinions and a Federal judge’s ruling on mandatingcoverage combine to have an influence on health care reform implementation in 2011.No- there isn’t a feasible way to repeal the Affordable Care Act in 2011, as a number ofRepublicans have called for. However, that doesn’t mean that various aspects of healthreform backlash won’t loom large in further development of implementing regulations,ongoing funding provisions, and how stakeholders react.

2. Medicaid Clout
As employment based health coverage shrank during the past decade, Medicaid grew,particularly once the recession kicked in. The Affordable Care Act turbo chargedprojected Medicaid enrollment for the coming years. Given that health care policy can beoften most effectively be dictated through the role as purchaser, Medicaid has increasingclout to impact policy in 2011 and beyond. Furthermore, the increased enrollment hasmade Medicaid the awakening giant for health plans and provider systems to deal with.Major health plans will increasingly look for Medicaid contracting, market expansionsand plan acquisition opportunities. Major providers will dedicate increased resourcestowards Medicaid delivery systems.

3. ACO Initiatives
No one is waiting to see how Medicare ACO pilots set forth under the Affordable CareAct will turn out. 2011 will witness continued rapid deployment of ACO developmentand operational initiatives in the commercial and Medicaid sectors.

4. ACO Naysayers
There will be a growing groundswell of warnings about getting involved with ACOs.Never has there been swooning in the marketplace over a hot new trend without theaccompanying follow-up of naysayers shortly thereafter attributing all the attention tohype, smoke and mirrors. Quite often, it can be for good reason. But by the end of 2011,we won’t know if that’s the case or not for ACOs.

5. Provider Payment Reform
The provider contracting environment will be subject to much greater change andupheaval in 2011. Whether driven by new delivery system initiatives such as ACOs,medical homes, and integration initiatives; general payment restructuring such as byepisode of care; or network restructuring initiatives such as narrow networks, 2011 willwitness significantly heightened activity.

6. Physician Integration
It isn’t just all about potential ACO development. Whether due to EHR/Meaningful Usepressures, economic pressures, perceptions of the future outlook for health care, and ahost of other factors, physicians in private practice will continue to integrate into largermedical groups, and or with health care systems at an increasing rate in 2011.

7. Wellness Incentives
Find some major employers in 2011 that aren’t deploying health risk assessments andfinancial incentives for employees to engage wellness and lifestyle health care issues,and they most likely are developing plans to do so. Those that are already involved willcontinue to roll out additional programs, particularly seeking how to reach into dependentengagement.

8. EHR Critical Mass
Broadband internet connectivity existed for sometime before it reached enough criticalmass for consumers nationwide to routinely start watching You Tube videos of twoyear olds biting their older brothers’ fingers. In 2011, there will be enough medicalgroups, hospitals, health plans and consumer portals to engage and transact a materialsegment of the consumer population with their health care, and the impact of this ongoingtransformation over time will be immense.

9. Survival of Consumer Driven Plans
HSAs and Consumer Driven Plans were written off by pundits as health care reformcoalesced during the past two years. But the plans are survivors, and reports keep comingout documenting moderate, steady growth, that over time, makes them an importantfactor in the health benefits equation.

10. Era of Uncertainty
There’s so much unknown country to drive through: how much will health carereform backlash affect reform implementation? What will be the specifics of variousimplementing regulations? Will the economy pick up steam or not? How are otherstakeholders going to behave in this environment? Often, with major uncertainties afoot,organizations can tend to hunker down for the time being. But with so much at stake,2011 will require driving forward without an up-to-date road-map.

Monday
Nov152010

Accountable Care Organizations in California: Lessons Learned

by Clive Riddle, November 10, 2010

While attending the recent Accountable Care Congress in Los Angeles, I had the pleasure of hearing Accountable Care Congress give a presentation on the recently released Integrated Healthcare Association white paper on Accountable Care Organizations in California. I highly recommend you check out the document at: http://www.iha.org/pdfs_documents/home/ACO_whitepaper_final.pdf

The 32 page report includes some great data and discussion, and makes the following nine points regarding lessons learned from the California experience to date:

  1. A variety of organizational structures are effective at delivering high quality coordinated care; at least as important to success as structure are an organization's capabilities, culture, and infrastructure, as well as the alignment of goals between the organization and its individual physicians.
  2. In California, a range of relationships exist between physician organizations and hospitals. Alignment of incentives between physician organizations and hospitals offer important opportunities for performance improvements across the entire continuum of care.
  3. As a method of payment, capitation can be effective at encouraging coordinated care, but payment methods should vary across ACOs depending on an organization's ability to assume risk. Fee-for-service payment with shared savings has not proven a successful incentive for the efficient delivery of care.
  4. Health plans acting in concert on payment methods and performance measurement helped facilitate the growth of California's provider organizations, and should also play an integral part in fostering ACO development nationally.
  5. ACOs are not a panacea for health care spending control. Some large provider organizations have gained bargaining power and raised prices. Capitation payment and consumer cost sharing partially offset tendencies toward raising prices.
  6. ACOs must be agnostic to insurance type; most provider organizations in California have focused on commercial, Medicare, and Medicaid HMO plans for their patients, but for ACOs to be viable across the country, mechanisms must be found to encourage PPO and traditional Medicare and Medicaid patients to use their services.
  7. Balancing patient choice with the desire to decrease costs and effectively coordinate care is difficult. California's experience underscores the challenge of promoting care coordination in an environment of unrestricted provider choice.
  8. Regulation of the financial solvency of provider organizations is important to ensure market stability.
  9. Consumer protections from capitated provider organizations need to be balanced, not overburdening.
Thursday
Apr152010

Employer Health Care Strategies: Multinational Edition

by Clive Riddle, April 15, 2010

 It's one thing for a multi-state employer to weave their health care strategies through the maze of varying state regulations, delivery systems, demographics, patterns of care and consumer behavior. Consider the daunting task of attempting to synthesize a strategy that reaches across nations and continents.

TowersWatson tackles the subject, this week releasing results from their multinational employer health care survey: Workforce Health Strategies: A Multinational Perspective.  The survey “includes responses from 106 organizations that have at least 500 employees and significant business operations in more than one country. Ninety-three percent of the participating companies are based in North America and manage, on average, 25 health programs and operate in 20 countries around the world.”

Francis Coleman, senior international consultant with Towers Watson tells us “to mitigate growing health care risks and associated costs as well as boost worker productivity, multinationals can increase their use of health strategies that are truly global. In particular, forward-looking multinationals are using leading indicators of health and well-being to proactively and effectively focus their resources rather than react to the rising costs caused by lifestyle diseases and increased adoption of advanced medical technologies.”

But in considering the topic that TowersWatson raises, the question rattles around in the back of my mind ‘How big of a deal is this? After all, can the scope of the multinational work force really be that large?’ So a little background research was in order. First stop, the U.S. Census Bureau, Table 772. United States Multinational Companies--Selected Characteristics which indicates that in 2006 their scope incorporated:

  • Total assets $18.5 trillion
  • U.S. Parents
    • Capital expenditures $442 billion
    • Value added: $2.5 trillion
    • Employment : 21.7 million
  • Majority-owned foreign affiliates:
    • Capital expenditures $153 billion     
    • Value added: $996 billion
    • Employment 9.6 million

So the answer is, yes, the scope is big, and is largely U.S. centric. The National Foreign Trade Council in a press release last year entitled U.S. Multinational Companies Strengthen the Domestic Economy informed us that “The worldwide operations of U.S. multinational companies are highly concentrated in America, not abroad in their foreign affiliates. Domestic parent companies accounted for nearly 70 percent of worldwide employment of U.S multinationals….and represents about 19 percent of total private-sector payroll employment….Foreign affiliates are located primarily in high-income countries that in many ways have economic structures similar to the U.S., not in low-income countries. Affiliates in high-income countries accounted for 79 percent of total affiliate output. …U.S. parent companies account for nearly 25 percent of all private-sector output (measured in terms of GDP), or more than $2.5 trillion.”

Getting back to the matter at hand, here are some key results from the Towers Watson Multinational Survey:

  •  26% have a global health strategy in place today, and  an equal number plan to implement a global health strategy by 2012
  • 77% offer employee health programs in lieu of, or in addition to, publicly provided programs in all or most of the countries in which they operate.
  • 83% of respondents said that stress have a high or moderate impact on their health care costs and workforce productivity, while 77% said chronic conditions and 63% said obesity (63%) had this impact.
  • 40% of respondents provide case management programs in most or all countries, while 25% provide disease management, 30% offer health promotion, health screenings and behavioral health programs and 25% provide health risk assessments in most or all countries.
  • 51% indicate that non-U.S. markets lack available or reliable health care cost data 44% said these markets lack available or reliable health care products and services and 30% said they lack desired health care vendors

<!--[if !supportLists]-->·             <!--[endif]-->26% have a global health strategy in place today, and  an equal number plan to implement a global health strategy by 2012

<!--[if !supportLists]-->·             <!--[endif]-->77% offer employee health programs in lieu of, or in addition to, publicly provided programs in all or most of the countries in which they operate.

<!--[if !supportLists]-->·             <!--[endif]-->83% of respondents said that stress have a high or moderate impact on their health care costs and workforce productivity, while 77% said chronic conditions and 63% said obesity (63%) had this impact.

<!--[if !supportLists]-->·             <!--[endif]-->40% of respondents provide case management programs in most or all countries, while 25% provide disease management, 30% offer health promotion, health screenings and behavioral health programs and 25% provide health risk assessments in most or all countries.

51% indicate that non-U.S. markets lack available or reliable health care cost data 44% said these markets lack available or reliable health care products and services and 30% said they lack desired health care vendors